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20121031
20121031
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 113 (some duplicates have been removed)
romney leading president obama 52% to 45% among voter who's already cast their ballots. newt gingrich joins us, good evening, sir. your thoughts on the gallup poll of early voters? >> if it's accurate it's devastating for obama. obama played a tremendous amount of effort into building a ground game. they're confident they can turn the vote out early. they talked about it with a sense of achievement. if this is correct, it's a remarkable result. republicans have been saying during all of the snap shots well, don't worry about early voting because republican voters tend to be older, they love to vote on election day. all of a sudden these numbers i'm surprised and i frankly thought i would not have been surprised to see it reversed and see it obama, 52, romney, 45. so this is a shocking number. but it fits something that you may have seen late last week. gallup took all of this september questions, 19,000 people pretty big universe. looking at all of them together as one group. and said the surprise is that this electorate looks more republican but as republicans are much, much more lik
on the gallup poll of early voters? >> if it's accurate it's devastating for obama. obama played a tremendous amount of effort into building a ground game. they're confident they can turn the vote out early. they talked about it with a sense of achievement. if this is correct, it's a remarkable result. republicans have been saying during all of the snap shots well, don't worry about early voting because republican voters tend to be older, they love to vote on election day. all of a sudden these numbers i'm surprised and i frankly thought i would not have been surprised to see it reversed and see it obama, 52, romney, 45. so this is a shocking number. but it fits something that you may have seen late last week. gallup took all of this september questions, 19,000 people pretty big universe. looking at all of them together as one group. and said the surprise is that this electorate looks more republican but as republicans are much, much more likely to vote, democrats less likely to vote. they said this is closer to the to 10 electorate than 2008. that is based on huge samples. if that is accurat
to campaign through these waning days, not able to get his obama supporters out to become obama voters again is a real detriment to his chances of winning. it was always based on the turnout model. mitt romney has been winning over new voters. mitt romney has momentum. that might be on pause right now, but the intensity is on the republican side. people are going to go vote against barack obama for mitt romney even if they don't like mitt romney. the democrats are not feeling that way and if they're out of power and they had to pay to go to a hotel and life is tough comes tuesday, and it's inconvenient, they might not show up, and i don't think that having a few press conferences where he says the power could be out for a while, this is a serious storm, is really going to inspire people with a tough four years. >> the flip side of allowing the president to be presidential is it has put mitt romney in a bit of a box. there was immediately this pressure over whether romney should continue to campaign or out of respect for the people who are in the path of the storm he should stop, so he stoppe
of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about obama's record for debt and deficits, health care, energy, any day we're talking about something else, that's good for obama, and so i will be surprised if he doesn't make a little bit of a comeback here. he's had a prett pretty solid mt for a month. there wasn't anything happen to stop the movement by romney. what may stop it is this storm and not so much that the president will do a great job, although i don't have any doubt that he will. mostly what happens right after a terrible storm is we know where i come from, it's the local first responders. it's the firemen, the policeman, the highway patrolmen, the national guardsmen, the mayors, th
voters will turn out as much as the obama campaign expects. these sides do believe very different things. sure, they're spinning some, but they do believe different things. >> okay. let me go to james peterson. let me go to this whole question. and i may agree with the republicans to this extent, in terms of taxes. everybody's been talking about these swing states as if the tail can wag the dog. somehow if you win the swing states, you affect the whole rest of the country in doing so, when that's the residue. but if you spend all your advertising money and all your grassroots, all your social media, and you focus it all on ohio, that doesn't help you win in pennsylvania. it doesn't help you in minnesota or michigan. i'm wondering whether they got the thing wrong, possibly, the obama people, by putting all their faith in winning those seven states, or most of them. what do you think? >> i think that because of the electoral college, elections, presidential elections have to focus on swing states and have to focus on these emerging purple states, because as it turns out, the elections some
. he will run a little bit ahead of president obama in the state. he appeals to some voters that obama does not appeal to simply because he's been there along time. i think brown ends up being safe. bill nelson has survived an onslaught of more than $20 million in outside ad spending. he's running against representative connie mack. while mack has had the potential to make it real contest, he has not. nelson is running it pretty close, six. . that's our it will end up on election day,. virginia was tied for very long time. there were 6000 poles in a row that showed it at a tie. -- there were 6000 polls in a row that showed it at a tie. we did the washington post poll that showed romney leading by a much larger number of earlier this week i do and think tim kaine is ahead by 3 points. on election day, this will be really close contest. i still give tim kaine the edge, a tort allen is not dead by any means. host: if you are interested in hearing from those candidates, we have covered many of the debates in the closely contested senate races. c-span.org to find them. reid wilson, editor-i
reconsidered his position. president obama would be speaking to crowd after crowd in swing states if it hadn't been for the storm. he has less than a week to convince undecided voters. most americans have already examined his record over the past four years. he started his term with a sentiment offered by many of those who came before him. >> that america can change. our union can be perfected. >> many americans have grown tired of what their country was come to represent under george w. bush. obama promised to change at home and abroad. he brought an end to the war in iraq. he said u.s. combat forces would pull out of afghanistan by the end of 2014. and he promised to decimate al qaeda. >> after a firefight, they killed osama bin laden and took custody of his body. we can say to those families who lost loved ones to al qaeda's terror justice has been done. >> some argue obama has not met expectations in the mideast. he faced persistent trouble with a come dominant region in iran. still he has focused foreign policy to make it more multilateral. part of what he calls a broader shift. >> afte
. >> mitt romney and barack obama yearn for their vote, the elusive mysterious undecided voter. (laughter) >> stephen: yes, they yearn. (cheers and applause) yes. elusive, mysterious undecided voters. i wonder what he's thinking. (laughter) or if. (laughter) folks, folks, here's how it stands. the electoral kitchen is closing in two weeks and they still can't decide if they want the black-and-white cookie or the decaf wheat thin. (laughter) they're elusive! but we know that they're out there! these campaigns have spent billions of dollars trying to capture them with lawn signs, t.v. ads, radio spots, internet banners, robocalls and, for some lucky ohio voters, an amorous david axelrod with a rose in his teeth. (laughter) but a few and the liesing facts about these mysterious creatures have emerged. >> undecided voter they say typically a single white female between 18 and 29 years old, she has a job with a low income, she did not graduate from college. according to this poll she skipped watching the debate. >> stephen: fascinating. the person who will decide this race is a likely voter wh
. >> interesting time for young voters. you know if they voted for president obama for the first time when they were voting for the first time for four years they seemed a very different work force. do you see political case changing. i imagine and don't know but from your registered voters it probably skews democrat versus republican. >> it does. we just did some polling on young people and where they are at right now. it looks like the president maintains his advantage among young people so among registered and likely voters it's about two to one for the president. but the real question is those young republicans who have come up and have been engaged in the primary campaign who are supporting romney, they could turn out just as easily as those who are supporting the president. and whether or not they turn out and which of the young voters turn out could make a critical difference in who becomes the next president. >> is the economy the biggest concern of these young voters? >> yeah, it still is. the top concern is jobs for the young people and the economy. but when we dig in it's really
times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than anywhe anywhere. you still see that in the internals in terms of romney's image in that state. >> i said they have
be in play. it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states recognized as battlegrounds and a democratic history and makes it difficult for romney and not hard to see why the combination of results of a last few elections and the state's demographics could put it in play. other hand, polls show obama ahead and 50%. the campaigns have an investment there and they don't take the evidence of a strong race and inclined to think although minnesota is closer than people think it's probably not going romney's way. >> nate, let's talk about ohio. the sort of premier swing state. you have made the point of a state filled with white working class voters and elsewhere turned on obama in four years and if they had in ohio like they have elsewhere this would be a pretty easy romney feat and obama's ahead by a few points and been a consistent leap. i want to run a number that jumped out at me from t
the hurricane, you had romney 51 and obama 46%. that's your voter model. you still think that's going to hold after the hurricane? >> yes. and in fact, one of the thing that's not being discussed much, what we've seen all through september is -- and much of october was obama outspending romney, especially in the battleground states. and in the last couple of days as they've gone more positive on their tv as opposed to negative, and basically more even playing field, you have a candidate, romney, who has actually become more popular, more favorable with the electorate, and i think this is actually going to end up benefiting him. and i saw some indication of that in the data. >> why do you think that? today when i saw president obama with governor chris christie, i thought he looked really presidential. it was a great moment for him. he looked deeply in command of a lot of facts about how the federal government could help. i mean, this was no -- you're doing a good job moment. i mean, it was just the opposite. >> doing your job, you'll get a great deal of credit. that's not what's driving this
-american vote will go to obama. 80% of women voters will go for obama. and if you want, the other votes, if you are nice about it and give romney 50% of the vote, how can he be so close in the polls? guest: each poll is different. referencing real clear politics, one example of a site that is pretty good as far as bringing pulling together. the question as to how polling is these days -- how accurate polling is these days with one- third of households not having home front anymore. pew charitable trust did a study that indicated 9% of people they're reaching out to our actual responding. in new hampshire, weather is from campaigns or different parties, if you stay home tonight you will get probably on average 5 to 10 phone calls. it gets to the point where you shut your rigor off and you do not even turn on your answering machine. you could be on the phone on my with pollsters. pollsters after this election, as they always do, will boil down things and find out where the margins were, what went right, what went wrong. there are very talented people. a lot of time they are very accurate. i will
's sending voters is obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary socialist personal and can be trusted. >> reporter: better than any speech or tv ad, to lead in a crisis and have political opponents offer praise. but that sword is double edged. and if fema stumbles badly, the blowback is sure to hurt the president who right now is on the jersey shore with chris christie and he's speaking. let's go to him now. jim, back to you. pat? >> we are waiting that news conference and we will bring that to you, as soon as it happens. it's a statement from the president after an afternoon of touring there in new jersey. >>> turning now to the weather in our area, which turned much nicer today. >> much nicer but chilly. a sweater for you. i've had the jacket on since i've been in and out today. but for the trick or treaters, at least it's going to be quiet. a lot of neighborhoods, some are, some aren't having the trick or treating. it's been overcast. we've had a little bit of blue skies from time to time. there are those gray low-hanging clouds. it's 53 degrees. so we were hard pressed to see the
lawmaker. the issues he cares about are abortion and gay marriage. and this is an obama voter, amanda renn true, she says she voted early because she has two kids and didn't want to forget to do it. her big issue, affordable health care. send us your votergraph. the address, cnn.com/earlystart. we love hearing from you. today's best advice still coming up. home of the legendary grand prix circuit. the perfect place to bring the all-new cadillac ats to test the 2.0-liter turbo engine. [ engine revs ] ♪ [ derek ] 272 horsepower. the lightest in its class. the cadillac ats outmatches the bmw 3 series. i cannot believe i have ended the day not scraping some red paint off on these barriers. ♪ [ male announcer ] the all-new cadillac ats. ♪ you see us, at the start of the day. on the company phone list that's a few names longer. you see us bank on busier highways. on once empty fields. everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and communities can expand, grow stronger and get back to work. everyday you see all of us serving yo
are agreed that if every registered voter turned out obama would certainly win but how much more enthusiastic will romney supporters be? will obama have more of an advantage in the swing states with this ground game stuff we talked about than in other states, potentially, there years when the polls have been off, in 1980 jimmy carter was supposed to be in a close race with ronald reagan and lost in a landslide. >> rose: was that because there was a late minute switch to reagan or because they similar my did the polls badly? >> probably a combination of both, i think now polls use what are called likely voter models and do account for will persons actually vote? tha that was ls common this the 1980s and you had years where the polls would underestimate how much republican enthusiasm there might be, usually the republicans are more enthuse stic, a little easier to group and get pout to the polls than democrats are. >> rose: how do you factor in also this notion david brooks again, that said that somehow polls do not -- polls are often in error because they can't measure human behavior? >> we
, question number three here. president obama handling of the economy among likely voters. approve 45%. disapprove, 52%. 2010 was a huge republican win in mid-term election and you can see numbers in comparison. >> so compared to 2010 plus ten for president. but still not great because you see higher rate of disapproval than approval. what is interesting about this, if you ask about the handling in general still not great. more people disapprove than approve. that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can
the minds of undecided voters, where will the presidential nominees be today? president obama says he will not hit the campaign trail until tomorrow, insisting recover from hurricane sandy takes his top priority. today, he visits new jersey to visit one of the areas hardest hit and one of his harshest critics, chris christie. surprisingly, he called the president and government efforts outstanding. mitt romney back on the road in florida. he collected some items for storm victims and called it a show of american spirit. many are hoping to hear more about his opinion about the government's reaction to the storm response. he has avoided those questions so far. maryland had lost two days of the early voting schedule, so officials have decided to extend it one more day. the poles remain open until 9:00 tonight. originally, early voting was scheduled to end on thursday, but it has been extended until friday. for a list of early voting sites around the state, go to our website, wbaltv.com. coming up, two brothers know where to be found this afternoon after they were swept away by flood wate
, why the headline reads ohio's working class offer the key to obama's re-election. well, they're specifically talking about working white class middle class voters. you can tweet us. lendars. it's the last day you can switch your medicare part d plan. we're ready, and we can't wait to switch. what i wanted was simple: the most value for my dollar. so, now that it's time, we're making the move to a plan that really works for us. [ male announcer ] make the switch to an aarp medicarerx plan, insured through unitedhealthcare. open enrollment starts october 15th and ends december 7th. call now for a free information kit. you'll receive a summary of plan benefits and an enrollment form. discover why these part d plans are so popular with over 4 million plan members and counting. with predictable copays and plans with no annual deductible, you could start saving with your first prescription. plus, we'll be covered at like 60,000 pharmacies. so if we visit our kids in portland or go anywhere in the country, we know we're covered. [ male announcer ] the new preferred pharmacy network
, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters were asked does the candidate care about people like you. does care at 62%. mitt romney at 44%. is there an empathy gap that's still plaguing the governor and even more so now that we're going to see the president out with people, the regular folks in new jersey, the people that are dealing with storm cleanup, the f
about president obama and multipleerns. -- issues. maryland voters will need to consider issues on the ballot. and the ex-wife of mohammad breaks down like never before in an emotional interview. those stories and much more just ahead on the news edge six. anncr: which do you believe? what mitt romney's tv ads say about women? or what mitt romney himself says? mitt romney: do i believe the supreme court... should overturn roe v. wade? yes. and it would be my preference that they, that they... reverse roe v. wade. hopefully reverse roe v. wade. overturn roe v. wade. planned parenthood, we're going to get rid of that. i'll cut off funding to planned parenthood. anncr: no matter what mitt romney's ads say. we know what he'll do. president obama: i'm barack obama and... i approve this message. . >>> in tonight's health alert, a nationwide meningitis outbreak continues. health officials in virginia identified another death from the tainted steroids injections, bringing the total number of fatalities to three. the cdc is reporting more than 377 illnesses and 29 deaths in 19 states. >
the romney and obama campaigns the goal is to target voters sufficiently so they divide us into groups called buckets. the mobilization bucket for strong supporters of the candidate. the opposition bucket for those voting for the other guy. no need to spend resources on w them. and the persuasion bucket for those valuable undecideds. and the campaigns create buckets within buckets. t the more data they have, the them.hey can refine details, notes, that person tells me what their most important issue is, do i put that down? >> i would p that in the note cause we know next time when we're building an audience that, you know, joe schmo was a small business owner. you want to make sure he's a part of that audience. >> sreenivasan: the campaign collects even more data through a new organizing tool called dashboard which allows them to pinpoint not just potential voters but potential volunteers. the people in the mobilization bucket. >> this is our on-line field office and so dshboard is definitely both a social tool but also a reporting tool, a team-building tool. everythg you can think that werye
crippling sanctions. (cheers and applause) >> jon: i think romney's leaning obama! (laughter) apparently romney is one of this year's coveted swing voters. look, how closely did mitt romney align himself with what had, i guess up until last night, been the worst foreign policy ever? listen to these guys duet on syria. >> i believe that assad must go. >> assad has to go. >> i don't want to have our military involved in syria. >> for us to get more entangled militarily in syria is a serious step. >> so the right course for us is working through our partners -- >> -- in consultation with our partners -- >> -- to identify responsible parties within syria. >> mobilizing the moderate forces. >> organize them. >> helping the operation organize. >> we need to make sure -- >> making absolutely certain -- >> that they don't have arms -- >> -- arms ? >> the wrong hands. >> to hurt us down the road. (. >> (both together) thank you. (cheers and applause) >> jon: wow, what the hell was that? on foreign policy it appears that all that's left for the presidential race is this one model. i mean, at least
is still very much with mitt romney. juan is very worried, and then the most vial pro obama ad to date, this one courtesy of left winger michael moore. we'll play it for you tonight and it will make you sick as >> sean: in just one week voters head to the polls and decide what is without question the most important election of our lifetime and with just seven days remaining until the race for the white house concludes we can report the momentum is on the side of governor mitt romney. according to the latest gallup survey his lead is at 5 points, 51 to 46%. in addition, gallup it reporting that romney is outpacing his opponent in a big way when it comes to early voting. unlike in 2008 when obama led senator john mccain by 15 points in early voting, in 2012 it's romney that's now running ahead by an impress impressiven points. 52% of the ballots have been cast in romney's favor. it's an eight point swing, by the way, in only four weeks. with all of those numbers in mind it's not surprising that the bi-partisan battleground model predicts romney as the winner in tuesday's election. will
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 113 (some duplicates have been removed)